Apr 8, 2011


Portugal bail-out terms discussed by finance ministers

Man standing next to a newspaper stand in LisbonThe bail-out deal is likely to include major cost-cutting
The European Union will discuss the size and terms of Portugal's bail-out on Friday after receiving a formal request for aid late on Thursday.
EU finance ministers at a two-day summit in Budapest are likely to consider the scope of a potential deal.
But there is doubt about whether Portugal's caretaker government can agree to the austerity measures that would be a prerequisite for the loans.
Jose Socrates' government fell because he could not pass austerity measures.
The European Commission was clear on Wednesday that it would discuss a deal with the current Portuguese authorities, stressing that with the Irish Republic's bail-out it had spoken to opposition parties, business leaders and trade unions before agreeing to loans.
The Irish Republic's bail-out took six weeks to negotiate, a time period that would take Portugal close to its scheduled elections on 5 June.
Joint mission
The next step in the negotiations on a bail-out will be for the European Commission, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to send a joint mission to Portugal.

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The basic laws of economics are threatening to pull the eurozone apart, just as politicians are trying to pull it together. As usual, the ECB is stuck in the middle of the mess, and it doesn't like it one bit. ”
EU rules require such a mission to be sent to a country asking for financial aid, to establish the details of the help needed.
Portugal's cost of borrowing has risen sharply since the minority socialist government resigned last month after its proposed tougher austerity measures were defeated in parliament.
The ECB said on Thursday that it had encouraged Portugal to seek financial aid.
Earlier this week Portugal's PM Jose Socrates said "there was too much at risk" for the country not to seek help
Portugal's problems have been different from those of Greece and the Irish Republic, the other countries that have needed bailing out.
Low economic growth and high wages have meant that the country has struggled to raise enough money through taxation to pay for government spending.
When the banking crisis came, it found itself dealing with the same rising costs of debt that other countries had to deal with, and has finally had to concede that it cannot raise the money it needs through financial markets.
The Republic of Ireland, on the other hand, had a much more severe banking crisis, largely as a result of a property bubble that burst.
Greece went on a debt-fuelled spending spree while failing to sort out the public finances to fund it.

Sesame Street comes to Pakistan

US government aid agency sponsors $20m Pakistani remake of the American kids' TV show
Sesame Street characters
Sesame Street characters Ernie, Bert, Elmo, Cookie Monster, Abby Cadabby and Zoe. Many will be dropped from the Pakistani version. Photograph: Kathy Willens/AP
There's no Cookie Monster, no Big Bird and no Count von Count.
But Pakistani children will soon start experiencing what millions in the west have done for more than four decades – the joys of Sesame Street.
In a $20m (£12m) remake of the classic American children's programme, the setting for the show has moved from the streets of New York to a lively village in Pakistan with a roadside tea and snacks stall, known as a dhaba, some fancy houses with overhanging balconies along with simple dwellings, and residents hanging out on their verandas.
The Pakistani version, in which characters will speak mostly in Urdu, will feature Rani, a cute six-year-old Muppet, the child of a peasant farmer, with pigtails, flowers in her hair and a smart blue-and-white school uniform. Her curiosity and questions about the world will, it is hoped, make her a role model for Pakistani children.
The financing for the series comes from USAid, the economic assistance arm of the US government, which aims to help the country's young learn some basic words and numbers through Sesame Street's fun style of education. Pakistan's schooling system is failing badly, a major reason for a descent into religious conservatism and economic stagnation.
Elmo, the cheerful monster toddler from the original, will be in the Pakistani version, with new local personality touches. But other American favourites such as Count von Count – a lovable vampire who would rather count telephone rings than answer the phone – will make way for local characters in SimSim Humara ("Ours"), the Pakistani edition.
The programme, which will start filming this summer in Lahore and begin airing in the autumn, is targeted particularly at deprived children outside the big cities and will be shown on the national state broadcaster, PTV, so it should be available even in the smallest village. Following the Sesame Street formula, each show will pick one word and one number to highlight.
"The idea is to prepare and inspire a child to go on the path of learning, and inspire the parents of the child to think that the child must be educated," said Faizaan Peerzada, the chief operating officer at the Lahore-based Rafi Peer Theatre Workshop, which was awarded the commission for the project in collaboration with Sesame Workshop, the creator of the American show. "This is a very serious business, the education of the children of Pakistan at a critical time."
The show will have strong female characters and carry an implicit message of tolerance but will feature no pro-American propaganda or overt challenge to hardline religious sentiment. Under Barack Obama, US civilian assistance to Pakistan has tripled to $1.5bn a year but the money does not seem to have made much obvious impact. The Pakistani Sesame Street could turn out to be the most visible American aid project in Pakistan in recent years.
The $20m US grant will produce the Pakistani Sesame Street for four years, with 78 episodes in Urdu and 56 in regional languages, a radio show, mobile TV vans to show the programme in remote areas and a travelling Muppet roadshow.
Some will criticise the expenditure on a TV programme, but it aims to reach 3 million kids, many more than the same sum spent on school building. The Muppets will also be used to front public service messages on issues such as health, which aim to reach 95 million people.
"Teaching kids early on makes them much more successful when they get to school. And this programme will have the capacity to encourage tolerance, which is so key to what we're trying to do here," said Larry Dolan, director of the education office at USAid for Pakistan. "In terms of bang for the buck, reaching 95 million people is pretty important. This is much more than a TV programme, far more ambitious than a Sesame Street series."

Ouattara calls for Ivory Coast sanctions to be lifted

Ivory Coast's elected leader, Alassane Ouattara, asks the EU to lift sanctions on the main ports of the world's top cocoa producer
Alassane Ouattara
Alassane Ouattara said in a speech on French television that he had asked the EU to lift sanctions on Ivory Coast's main ports. Photograph: AP
Ivory Coast's internationally recognised president, Alassane Ouattara, has called for an end to sanctions as he seeks to return the country to normal, despite a continuing military standoff with incumbent Laurent Gbagbo.
Ouattara said his forces had blockaded Gbagbo inside the presidential residence in Abidjan and that he had asked the EU to lift sanctions on the main ports of the world's top cocoa producer.
With Gbagbo refusing to step down, Ouattara - whom the UN declared the winner of last November's presidential election that was meant to draw a line under Ivory Coast's 2002-3 civil war - took the first steps towards assuming executive powers in a televised address.
He promised to restore security and utilities, meet basic needs and pay salaries after five months of conflict in which thousands of people have died and residents of what was once West Africa's most prosperous country have been left without food and water.
"I have asked that European Union sanctions on the ports of Abidjan and San Pedro and certain public entities, be lifted," Ouattara said in a speech broadcast on French television. Dealers say about 500,000 tonnes of cocoa are stuck in the country.
"I have also asked the [West African] central bank, BCEAO, to reopen its branches in Ivory Coast, to ensure a resumption of operations in all banks so as to enable the payment of salaries and arrears in the shortest possible time," he said on the LCI channel.
"As for the outgoing president, Mr Laurent Gbagbo, who has entrenched himself at the presidential residence in Cocody with heavy weapons and mercenaries, a blockade has been established around the perimeter to secure the inhabitants of the district," Ouattara said.
Diplomatic and military efforts to oust Gbagbo have been met with fierce resistance.
A week of fighting for control of the economic capital of Abidjan has overwhelmed hospitals with casualties, caused frequent powercuts and left residents scrambling to find food and water.
"Every morning people have to take jerrycans to walk around the neighbourhood and search for water," Cocody resident Jean-Claude said. "As for food, there is nothing left. People have to queue up in long lines to buy even a single baguette."
UN peacekeepers have surrounded Gbagbo's "last defenders", France said yesterday. The French defence minister, Gérard Longuet, said Gbagbo had about 1,000 men defending him, 200 of whom were inside the residence.
A UN spokesman in Abidjan said UN forces were on standby.
"We have sent a patrol to Cocody and the surrounding area, but it is not to intervene," UN spokesman Hamadoun Toure said. "I am not aware that Ouattara has requested our intervention at this stage." Helicopters from French forces and the UN peacekeeping mission bombarded Gbagbo's weapons stockpiles earlier this week, including those near his residence.
Political analysts said Ouattara forces, who swept south last week in a lightly contested march toward Abidjan, could struggle to defeat Gbagbo's remaining presidential guard without French and UN help.
Ouattara meanwhile said he had asked his generals to take all necessary steps to maintain order and security of goods, people and their movements and also to secure the delivery of food to markets and medicines to hospitals and health centres.
He said steps would also be taken to shed light on all crimes committed during the conflict and that he would collaborate with international organisations to investigate human rights abuses and punish those found guilty.
The prosecutor at the international criminal court said this week that he was in talks with West African states about referring alleged atrocities in the Ivory Coast to the court after a reported massacre in the west of the country.
"We have established a national commission of inquiry whose findings will be made public and the perpetrators of crimes will be severely punished," Ouattara said.
Gbagbo has ruled Ivory Coast since 2000 and blames Paris for supporting the north of the country in the 2002-2003 civil war. Rebels from that war now make up the bulk of Ouattara's force.

ortugal debt crisis proves need for cuts, says George Osborne

Chancellor 'scaremongering' over Portuguese bailout, Labour says, after he stresses domestic significance of single currency
Protestors in Hyde Park
Protestors in Hyde Park. As Portugal asks for a bailout, George Osborne emphasises the need for deficit reduction. Photograph: Felix Clay for the Guardian
George Osborne used Portugal's plea for a €90bn (£79bn) rescue package to justify the government's austerity plans and warned that those who denied the need to deal with the budget deficit were "playing Russian roulette with Britain's national sovereignty".
The chancellor will join other EU finance ministers in Budapest to work out the tough terms of a bailout for Portugal after the eurozone's debt crisis claimed its third victim within a year. But he was accused by his Labour shadow, Ed Balls, of "scaremongering" after stressing that the deepening problems of the single currency had a domestic significance.
Financial markets responded calmly to the news that Portugal had finally sought help from its EU partners but, amid concerns that Spain could be the next target for speculative attack, Brussels said its plea would be treated "in the swiftest possible manner".
Pressure on the weaker countries of the 17-nation eurozone was increasedwhen the European Central Bank raised interest rates for the first time in almost three years. The ECB had put pressure on a reluctant Portugal to drop its hardline opposition to a bailout amid concerns that Portuguese banks were becoming too reliant on ECB funding. "We have encouraged the Portuguese authorities to ask for support," said Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the ECB.
Spain ruled out the possibility that it would be the next to buckle. Finance minister Elena Salgado said Spain's economy "is more diversified, more powerful with sound basics, and is much more competitive" than Portugal's.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development backed Spain's chances of avoiding a bailout: "Spain will not have the same problems as Portugal has been facing because it has been addressing those problems for quite some time," said Angel Gurría, the secretary general of the Paris-based thinktank.
In the UK, the Bank of England left borrowing costs on hold at 0.5% as Osborne used a keynote speech to the British Chambers of Commerce to spell out the government's case for deficit reduction.
"If you hear the stories about the cuts and still wonder why our country needs to take these difficult decisions, then look at what is happening around us. First Greece, then Ireland, today Portugal," he said.
"All of them countries that did not convince the world they could pay their debts. Two of them countries with smaller budget deficits than Britain. Now all of them being bailed out, at huge costs to their populations.
"Today of all days we can see the risks that would face Britain, if we were not dealing with our debts and paying off our national credit card. These risks are not imaginary – they are very, very real. Those in our country who deny the urgent need to deal with our deficit are playing Russian roulette with Britain's national sovereignty."
Balls, speaking to Sky News, said: "I think this is a desperate piece of scaremongering from what is an increasingly desperate chancellor who looks out of his depth. If anybody is playing Russian roulette with the British economy, it is George Osborne taking a huge gamble now without any idea how it's going to turn out. That may be good political lines but it is very bad economics. And it's taking huge risks with jobs and businesses and family finances up and down the country. I think he has got this very, very badly wrong and he will rue this day with this blatant politicking."
Attempts to resolve Portugal's crisis speedily were being hindered by Lisbon's political vacuum and over whether a caretaker government had sufficient authority to negotiate bailout terms that are likely to prove unpopular. The European commission and the ECB are expected to dispatch experts to Lisbon as early as next week to pore over the details.
Anders Borg, Sweden's finance minister, condemned Portugal's delay in asking for help. "We have reason to direct sharp criticism against the Portuguese. They have placed themselves and Europe in a very difficult situation," he complained. "They should have requested aid much earlier."
Portugal last month became the second country in a few months to suffer a government collapse because of the European debt crisis.
But unlike Ireland, and previously Greece, the negotiations with Lisbon involve a lame duck prime minister, José Socrates, who lacks the electoral legitimacy to impose the kind of austerity and spending cuts that the eurozone will demand as the price of rescue.
It is assumed that Socrates will have to strike a deal with the main opposition centre-right Social Democrats in order to secure a negotiating mandate. The collapse of his government last month means that Portugal has been thrust into an early election, with the ballot on 5 June.
By then it needs to raise around €10bn, meaning that EU funds would need to be disbursed before the election. EU governments are eager to avoid a repeat of the Irish scenario, where the government negotiated the bailout deal, then lost an election and its successor sought to unpick the terms.
Amid speculation about a "bridging loan" to tide Portugal over until the elections, Brussels and Berlin stressed that, legally, the sole instruments available were the two temporary vehicles created last May, the European Financial Stability Mechanism and the European Financial Stability Facility – the first totalling €60bn administered by the commission (with Britain liable for 13.7%) and the second comprising €440bn in eurozone government loan guarantees. Access to those funds requires "strict conditionality".
It is also highly probable that the International Monetary Fund, at German insistence, will need to be involved, whether Socrates wants it or not.